Posts on Wikiales

El Fútbol Cambió

Tue, 11 Aug 2026 04:00:00 +0200

Hace unos meses que envío un vídeo paritcular a mis amigos tras ciertos partidos de fútbol. Tras partidos de posesión estéril, balones rasos y al pie, pocas ocasiones y ritmo bajo. Partidos, en definitiva, como el de España contra Cabo Verde de hace algo más de un mes, que me desesperó hasta el punto fatídico de, por primera vez contra mi propia selección, enviar el vídeo de Jorge D’Alessandro.

Vaya por delante que no soy aficionado de El Chiringuito. Como tantos otros programas de televisión de emisión frecuente, El Chiringuito es un circo: un lodazal sensacionalista carente de información ni valor más allá de lo superficial. Es, en resumidas cuentas, telebasura, por lo que se maneja en los códigos y formatos de la telebasura: entretenimiento y retención por encima de todo lo demás. Quien busque análisis profundos y sesudos se ha equivocado de cadena.

Meses Menguantes

Tue, 17 Jun 2025 14:33:46 +0000

Esos posts, vídeos y artículos prometiendo trucos y secretos para perder peso rápido y fácil: posiblemente el género más odioso de contenido online, en muchos casos aprovechando una inseguridad tan profunda para vender un cursillo de mierda o un libro posavasos. Hace falta valor para aprovecharse descaradamente del miedo de un grupo de personas: de su miedo al fracaso, miedo al rechazo, miedo al dolor, miedo a la enfermedad, miedo a la muerte. Conozco estas ansiedades porque me han acompañado toda la vida: fui un niño gordo antes de ser un adolescente gordo, y eso antes de ser un adulto gordo. Lo he sido hasta hace poco: a inicios de 2024 llegué a pesar 135 kilogramos, pero hoy, 18 meses después, peso solo 90.

My Christmas Carnival, featuring Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign

Fri, 27 Dec 2024 00:03:46 +0000

While Todd In The Shadows is someone I have watched and respected for a long time, I admit that I rarely go out of my way to watch his music reviews anymore. I’m not sure why, maybe at some point I just found peace in my own opinions, but my interest in reviews in general has been dwindling, and poor Todd has become a casualty in this imagined conflict. There is, however, an instance I always come back for: his year-end top tens, eventfully detailing his thoughts on the year in popular music, both for good and ill. Since he’s a critic I’ve known for a long time, I understand the way that he thinks, so this is a good opportunity to collect my own thoughts on mainstream music as well.

On Suicide

Thu, 26 Dec 2024 00:51:21 +0000

I am typically pretty private about my suicide attempt, for reasons that can be both obvious and unexpected. There is a lot of what you would imagine: suicide comes with a pretty hefty social stigma (though, thankfully, people are increasingly willing to discuss it) but, more than anything, it is deeply uncomfortable for me to talk about what was probably the worst day of my life, even to people who I fully trust. I realized recently that I have never actually taken the time or energy to artlessly describe my feelings on my attempt and on suicide in general to anyone, and I have certainly never written it down. However, I feel that it’s been long enough now that I feel fine truly going through it and, while posting it publicly may seem unusual, I hope it can serve as a future reference for anyone who wants to read about suicide in detail and, just maybe, help destigmatize it along the way.

El Scrantoniano, o no

Wed, 25 Dec 2024 15:26:20 +0000

Cambio de década, cambio de onda. Quizás eso es lo que quiso pensar Joe Biden al ser inaugurado presidente el 20 de Enero de 2021. Quizás quiso pensarlo porque a eso había sido llamado y, mientras se llegase al destino, las formas no tenían por qué importar demasiado. La campaña había resultado endiablada: Biden logró una victoria sobre la bocina al salir Nominao de las primarias con el apoyo del resto de moderados y, abanderado en la promesa de dejar atrás el Trumpismo, había logrado la victoria por un margen mucho más estrecho del esperado. Los rápidos habían devuelto, sin embargo, un escenario parcialmente favorable: control Demócrata del Congreso y el Senado, aunque fuese por la mínima. Mandato y cambio de ciclo.

Heartache

Sat, 16 Nov 2024 19:48:03 +0000

I seize in the middle of the aisle. The bags of cereal sit around me, pointing their round bellies at my still figure, moving ever closer, trapping me in. A sea of plastic closes in on my shadow; then, around my legs, my fingers, my neck, my mouth. My one free eye detects someone approaching from the opposite end. I am powerless to stop her strides. She doesn’t seem to detect me at first, but then she does.

I’m not going to do a write-up on the election

Fri, 08 Nov 2024 03:42:59 +0000

This last November 5th, Americans chose Donald Trump to serve as their 47th President. This happened in a complex environment, where the unexpected twists and the underlying, hidden dynamics of the race were key. Very deep, insightful analyses will be carried out, but under no circumstances will you find any of them on this website.

This is not due to yours truly going through a prolonged bout of depression to do the result (surprisingly, I’m doing alright) or because there is nothing left to say about how it all shook out (there is still low-hanging fruit most people haven’t gotten to, I think). Instead, it’s a purely personal, long-term decision. I’m not going to write about this election or, really, probably any election in the upcoming year, mainly because I do not plan on following them.

No voy a escribir sobre las elecciones

Fri, 08 Nov 2024 00:45:20 +0000

El pasado 5 de Noviembre de 2024, los ciudadanos de Estados Unidos escogieron a Donald Trump para que sirviese como su cuatrigésimo-séptimo Presidente. Ello sucedió en un entorno complejo, marcado por giros inesperados y dinámicas subyacentes ocultas, todo ello muy interesante. Se llevarán a cabo ricos y profundos análisis al respecto, otros serán más frívolos, pero adelanto que ninguno de ellos tomará lugar en esta página web, bajo ningún concepto.

Diez años no es nada

Wed, 13 Dec 2023 12:40:06 +0000

“Es evidente que los que estamos aquí somos de izquierdas, se nos nota”. Caras como las de Juan Carlos Monedero, Miguel Urbán, Teresa Rodríguez e Íñigo Errejón flanquean a un joven Pablo Iglesias, inclinado hacia dos micrófonos. El año 2014, al igual que Podemos, acaba de ver la luz.

“Pero lo que estamos diciendo va mucho más allá de etiquetas ideológicas. Estamos diciendo que hay que defender la decencia, la democracia, y los derechos humanos”.

Minuto y Resultado, en exclusiva en ABC

Thu, 20 Jul 2023 21:58:15 +0000

Hace ya varios días que distintos medios, tanto de izquierda, derecha, centro y pa’dentro, publican “trackings” diarios de las elecciones generales para mantener más informada a su audiencia sobre los cambios que acaecen en la campaña. A diferencia de lo que piensan muchos, no se trata de encuestas al uso, sino de una especie de simulación de una encuesta: la muestra es muy parecida de una entrega para otra, así que es más fácil observar los cambios en la intención de voto de los distintos grupos. El contrapunto de esto es que la muestra debe estar bien constituida, porque si cojea de un lado o del otro es como hacer una división mal en el cole: los errores se multiplican con el tiempo.

No Vamos a Morir Todos

Mon, 03 Jul 2023 01:55:48 +0000

Feijóo arrasará, la derecha gobernará y Abascal será vicepresidente. Al menos, eso es lo que parecen creer todos los comunicadores públicos de cara a las elecciones del mes que viene. Es imposible llegar a la sección de opinión de cualquier diario, ya sea de derechas o de izquierdas, sin oír a alguien repetir la misma conclusión, a veces casi como si fuese una obviedad: la derecha va a ganar, lo bueno se va a acabar y vamos a morir todos. No son sólo los medios de comunicación: en Podemos son incapaces de hablar de las próximas elecciones generales sin hacer referencia a la, a su parecer, mínima posibilidad de que se reedite un gobierno de izquierdas.

I played Tetris and had an existential crisis

Thu, 09 Dec 2021 01:25:54 +0000

When Tetris Effect came out in 2018, I barely noticed. I had heard rummages about a new Tetris game that looked amazing, but I hadn’t seen anything concrete myself. At the end of the day, it’s just Tetris. What could be so interesting about it? Maybe it had the heart-pumping action of the arcade games, or perhaps it was a new mode that people were excited to try out. Either way, I felt like whatever the answer was wouldn’t interest me.

La Felicidad de un Libro

Wed, 17 Feb 2021 10:41:56 +0000

Quizá este dato sorprenda, pero he sido, en cierto momento de mi vida, un ávido lector. He leído hasta que se me juntaban las líneas entre sí, hasta que los ojos me jugaban malas pasadas. Cada palabra era a la vez candado y llave, dejándose abrir por la previa y desbloqueando la siguiente. El ejercicio de leer me traía gran placer y felicidad, y organizaba mi vida alrededor de poder leer algunas líneas más, como un mendigo que cuenta céntimos para un café. Era, sin duda, mi actividad preferida.

15 days away, the top 4 scrambles for an Iowa victory.

Sun, 19 Jan 2020 19:04:27 +0000

It has now been close to a year since I last wrote anything for this blog, and while I know no one has been waiting for me to do so I felt the need to continue. The main reason? The Iowa caucuses are now exactly 15 days away and we are headed for a photo finish.

As of today, the candidates with a reasonabe chance at an Iowa victory are former Vice-President Joe Biden, Senator Bernie Sanders, Senator Elizabeth Warren and Mayor Pete Buttigieg. Buttigieg has lapped other minor candidates in the moderate lane, even those that looked great on paper (Steve Bullock comes to mind), while Senators Sanders and Warren compete for dominance within the progressive electorate. All the while, the Vice-President continues to cruise ahead in national polls, strong and stable and running a wave of perceived electability.

Elizabeth Warren, Tulsi Gabbard and the rest.

Mon, 14 Jan 2019 22:50:42 +0000

On December 31st, 2018, Elizabeth Warren announced that she was forming an exploratory committee to consider a run for president. This is the first step many candidates take in their journey for the presidency, and Warren is already touring through early states like Iowa and New Hampshire. It would be, to put it mildly, pretty damn unprecedented for her to not run for president after announcing an exploratory committee.

I have been pretty bullish on Elizabeth Warren in the past, but she's had some rough patches since I published my last entry on this blog: bad net favorability ratings, dwindling enthusiasm, poll numbers falling, etc. And let's not forget the whole DNA test debacle. All in All, the senator from Massachussets has seen her stock in the upcoming primary decline in the last month.

Mike Espy does have a shot. It’s also not a very good one.

Tue, 27 Nov 2018 22:21:44 +0000

On November 6th, 35 elections to the senate took place. Most of them weren't that competitive, but a couple stuck out as potentially very interesting. Indiana, Missouri and West Virginia had democratic incumbents in red states who could be in trouble. However, today we're not going to talk about that, because those races are pretty done and dusted. We're here to talk about the only senate election that is yet to be called, the Mississippi special election.

2020 candidates ranked.

Mon, 26 Nov 2018 23:50:17 +0000

It's been a week since I started my “The case for” series, and I've writen about all the major candidates and three minor ones since. On Sunday, I promised that today I would bring you my power ranking of 2020 democratic presidential contenders, a mere 15 months away from the Iowa caucuses. I'm not going to beat around the bush now, but I'm going to do a whole lot of that after the ranking itself, so there's no shortage of information. Without further ado, here they are:

The case for Richard Ojeda, Andrew Yang and John Delaney for president.

Sun, 25 Nov 2018 23:14:26 +0000

During the 2018 election, there was a lot of buzz around the race for West Virginia's third congressional U.S. House district. The incumbent at the time, Evan Jenkins, was retiring to run for senate, so he left an open seat that West Virginia state senator Richard Ojeda thought he could take. It was, by any standard, a tall order; WV-03 was 37% more republican leaning than the nation as a whole, the 43rd most republican district out of 435. His rival, Carol Miller, was ostensibly just a party-line republican, so it's not like she was Roy Moore bad. However, not everything was uphill for Ojeda. West Virginia is ancestrally democratic, and he was on the ticket with Joe Manchin, a democrat who was running for reelection statewide (and won). In the end though, it wasn't enough for Ojeda to eke out a win. He lost by 13%, which is still a really good result for D's. In fact, the WV-02 race -a VERY deep sleeper- ended up being closer than WV-03, democrat Talley Sergent lost by about 11% there.

The case for Warren for president.

Sat, 24 Nov 2018 21:56:55 +0000

After Scott Brown won the vacant seat for U.S. senate in Massachussets, an upset that stunned many, it became clear that his seat would be a prime target for democrats come 2012, and that they would have a pretty good shot at taking that seat back. Try to think of something similar to the Doug Jones situation we have on our hands right now.

Ultimately, his challenger was law proffessor Elizabeth Warren, who had never held elected office but managed to get the nomination. While Brown started off with a lead, it kept dwindling until there was nothing left and Warren won with a pretty comfortable margin of 8%.

The case for Beto for president.

Fri, 23 Nov 2018 20:49:28 +0000

For way too many months, the Texas senate race was both closely followed by most people and utterly dismissed by some prominent personalities. Kavanaugh seemed to give Ted Cruz a bump, even if it probably wore off, and early indicators looked good for his challenger, Beto O'Rourke. Early voting, while it doesn't mean much, looked pretty decent for democrats, an some final polls showed the race really close.

And it was. The Texas senate race was closer than many expected. Early on election night it even seemed like Beto had a puncher's chance at unseating Ted Cruz, which would have been an upset by a lot of standards. However, Cruz retained his seat by about 3%, and he should be happy that he was up this year and not 2022 or something similar, as Texas is getting bluer.

The case for Harris for president.

Thu, 22 Nov 2018 21:24:31 +0000

In 2016, then attorney general Kamala Harris defeated longtime US House representative Loretta Sanchez in an election to Barbara Boxer´s senate seat. Shortly thereafter, rumors spread that the democratic establishment had chosen her as the DNC pick for president in 2020. They thought Harris could appeal to minorities enough to secure a path to 270 electoral votes, and they also thought that she could have enough appeal to both wings of the democratic party to win a primary.

The case for Sanders for president.

Tue, 20 Nov 2018 22:27:29 +0000

Throughout 2014 and most of 2015, Hillary Clinton looked poised to take the democratic nomination for president. most polls had her polling around 60%, sometimes even higher, and her possible challengers were way down below. The only one who came even remotely close was Joe Biden, and even he was a longshot.

Needless to say, this is not how things shook out.

Yes, Clinton did get around 55% of the vote, which is kind of close to what early polls showed. However it was not uncontested. The junior senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders, put up a serious challenge, garnering 43% of the vote. The Sanders' campaign's wins were mostly centered in the midwest and the rust belt, while Clinton wins were more notorious in southern and very populated states like New York. Obviously, these last states have more people in them, thus are awarded more delegates. That was one of the main downfall of the Sanders campaign: he just couldn't connect with southern voters of color, and those make up a great deal of the democratic base. Y'know, the people who ususally turn out in primaries.

The case for Biden for President.

Mon, 19 Nov 2018 21:23:45 +0000

After 2016 there was a lot of doom and gloom within the Democratic party about how they were losing white, working class voters in the rust belt. However, after the election a couple of weeks ago, democrats are not nearly as concerned. They took Governor's mansions easily in Michigan, Minnesota and Pennsylvania and dethroned Scott Walker in Wisconsin, a 2 term Republican governor who democrats despise. They also retained 6 senate seats in the rust belt, and you could say that they did so quite easily.

2020 candidates. Strengths and weaknesses. Next Week.

Sun, 18 Nov 2018 22:55:01 +0000

With the 2018 election fading from view, the focus is quickly shifting to 2020. Most of us know who the main presidential candidates will probably be, but how likely is each and every one of them to win? What is the ranking?

Harry Enten and Chris Cillizza rank the potential 2020 democratic presidential candidates in this article and, while I think they are doing great work, I can't help but feel like they are missing a couple of things. Why is Harris so high up? Why is Bernie so low? I will try to answer these questions in a section I'm opening next week called “The case for”, in which I will try my best to explain every potential candidate's strengths, and also some of the hardships that they may face during the campaign. Initially, I will do this for 1 week, and if I feel the need to do any more I will do so over the week after that. I also intend to release my ranking of top contenders whenever this is all said and done. In the meantime, I think this other article from Aaron Blake at The Washington Post is better, although it still has its flaws. We will see what those are over the coming week.

The 2018 races that are yet to be called.

Sat, 17 Nov 2018 20:01:51 +0000

While I'm sure a lot of people wish the election could be done and dusted right the day after, this is really never the case. Sure, most of the races get called the day of the election (even when they shouldn't have been) and most of the closely watched elections get called without all of the returns being in. However, every election cycle there are always a couple of races that have to go into overtime. Be it mail-in ballots, of which there are a lot of in California and Washington, recounts or provisional ballots. Here are the races that are yet to be called as of November 17th.

Starting out.

Sat, 17 Nov 2018 15:18:13 +0000

With the 2018 midterms wrapping up (it will end any day now, I swear) and the 2020 campaign shifting gears (it will start any day now, I swear), I feel like it is imperative that quality reporting is issued about the trends of individual races and the likelihood of different outcomes.

Hi, I'm Alex and this is my blog.

I'm a 15 year-old kid from Spain who passionately follows American politics, and I think that, after closely following 2 election cycles, I have a good hunch of how an election is going to turn out by looking at the data. Of course, I'm not the only one who does this, but I think I can contribute to the overall conversation by bringing a new perspective to the table. If you enjoy the works of Nate Silver, Charlie Cook, Larry Sabato and others I think you'll enjoy your stay here.