Midterms on Wikiales

Mike Espy does have a shot. It’s also not a very good one.

Tue, 27 Nov 2018 22:21:44 +0000

On November 6th, 35 elections to the senate took place. Most of them weren't that competitive, but a couple stuck out as potentially very interesting. Indiana, Missouri and West Virginia had democratic incumbents in red states who could be in trouble. However, today we're not going to talk about that, because those races are pretty done and dusted. We're here to talk about the only senate election that is yet to be called, the Mississippi special election.

2020 candidates ranked.

Mon, 26 Nov 2018 23:50:17 +0000

It's been a week since I started my “The case for” series, and I've writen about all the major candidates and three minor ones since. On Sunday, I promised that today I would bring you my power ranking of 2020 democratic presidential contenders, a mere 15 months away from the Iowa caucuses. I'm not going to beat around the bush now, but I'm going to do a whole lot of that after the ranking itself, so there's no shortage of information. Without further ado, here they are:

The case for Richard Ojeda, Andrew Yang and John Delaney for president.

Sun, 25 Nov 2018 23:14:26 +0000

During the 2018 election, there was a lot of buzz around the race for West Virginia's third congressional U.S. House district. The incumbent at the time, Evan Jenkins, was retiring to run for senate, so he left an open seat that West Virginia state senator Richard Ojeda thought he could take. It was, by any standard, a tall order; WV-03 was 37% more republican leaning than the nation as a whole, the 43rd most republican district out of 435. His rival, Carol Miller, was ostensibly just a party-line republican, so it's not like she was Roy Moore bad. However, not everything was uphill for Ojeda. West Virginia is ancestrally democratic, and he was on the ticket with Joe Manchin, a democrat who was running for reelection statewide (and won). In the end though, it wasn't enough for Ojeda to eke out a win. He lost by 13%, which is still a really good result for D's. In fact, the WV-02 race -a VERY deep sleeper- ended up being closer than WV-03, democrat Talley Sergent lost by about 11% there.

The case for Beto for president.

Fri, 23 Nov 2018 20:49:28 +0000

For way too many months, the Texas senate race was both closely followed by most people and utterly dismissed by some prominent personalities. Kavanaugh seemed to give Ted Cruz a bump, even if it probably wore off, and early indicators looked good for his challenger, Beto O'Rourke. Early voting, while it doesn't mean much, looked pretty decent for democrats, an some final polls showed the race really close.

And it was. The Texas senate race was closer than many expected. Early on election night it even seemed like Beto had a puncher's chance at unseating Ted Cruz, which would have been an upset by a lot of standards. However, Cruz retained his seat by about 3%, and he should be happy that he was up this year and not 2022 or something similar, as Texas is getting bluer.

The case for Harris for president.

Thu, 22 Nov 2018 21:24:31 +0000

In 2016, then attorney general Kamala Harris defeated longtime US House representative Loretta Sanchez in an election to Barbara Boxer´s senate seat. Shortly thereafter, rumors spread that the democratic establishment had chosen her as the DNC pick for president in 2020. They thought Harris could appeal to minorities enough to secure a path to 270 electoral votes, and they also thought that she could have enough appeal to both wings of the democratic party to win a primary.

The 2018 races that are yet to be called.

Sat, 17 Nov 2018 20:01:51 +0000

While I'm sure a lot of people wish the election could be done and dusted right the day after, this is really never the case. Sure, most of the races get called the day of the election (even when they shouldn't have been) and most of the closely watched elections get called without all of the returns being in. However, every election cycle there are always a couple of races that have to go into overtime. Be it mail-in ballots, of which there are a lot of in California and Washington, recounts or provisional ballots. Here are the races that are yet to be called as of November 17th.