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    <title>The Case For on Wikiales</title>
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    <description>Recent content in The Case For on Wikiales</description>
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      <title>The case for Richard Ojeda, Andrew Yang and John Delaney for president.</title>
      <link>/posts/the-case-for-richard-ojeda-andrew-yang-and-john-delaney-for-president./</link>
      <pubDate>Sun, 25 Nov 2018 23:14:26 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>/posts/the-case-for-richard-ojeda-andrew-yang-and-john-delaney-for-president./</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;During the 2018 election, there was a lot of buzz around the race for&lt;a href=&#34;https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/west-virginia-house/wv-03-why-district-trump-won-50-points-risk-gop&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt; West Virginia&#39;s third congressional U.S. House district.&lt;/a&gt; The incumbent at the time, Evan Jenkins, was retiring to run for senate, so he left an open seat that West Virginia state senator Richard Ojeda thought he could take. It was, by any standard, a tall order; WV-03 was 37% more republican leaning than the nation as a whole, the 43rd most republican district out of 435. His rival, Carol Miller, was ostensibly just a party-line republican, so it&#39;s not like she was Roy Moore bad. However, not everything was uphill for Ojeda. West Virginia is ancestrally democratic, and he was on the ticket with Joe Manchin, a democrat who was running for reelection statewide &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/west-virginia/&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;(and won).&lt;/a&gt; In the end though, it wasn&#39;t enough for Ojeda to eke out a win. &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/west-virginia/&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;He lost by 13%,&lt;/a&gt; which is still a really good result for D&#39;s. In fact, the WV-02 race -a VERY deep sleeper- ended up being closer than WV-03, democrat Talley Sergent lost by about 11% there.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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      <title>The case for Warren for president.</title>
      <link>/posts/the-case-for-warren-for-president./</link>
      <pubDate>Sat, 24 Nov 2018 21:56:55 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>/posts/the-case-for-warren-for-president./</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;After &lt;a href=&#34;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Massachusetts,_2010&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;Scott Brown won&lt;/a&gt; the vacant seat for U.S. senate in Massachussets, an upset that stunned many, it became clear that his seat would be a prime target for democrats come 2012, and that they would have a pretty good shot at taking that seat back. Try to think of something similar to the Doug Jones situation we have on our hands right now.&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;Ultimately, his challenger was law proffessor Elizabeth Warren, who had never held elected office but managed to get the nomination. While Brown started off with a lead, it kept dwindling until there was nothing left and &lt;a href=&#34;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Massachusetts,_2012&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;Warren won&lt;/a&gt; with a pretty comfortable margin of 8%.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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      <title>The case for Beto for president.</title>
      <link>/posts/the-case-for-beto-for-president./</link>
      <pubDate>Fri, 23 Nov 2018 20:49:28 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>/posts/the-case-for-beto-for-president./</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;For &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HgH4HkgBUFk&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;way too many months,&lt;/a&gt; the Texas senate race was both closely followed by most people and &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/wp/2018/10/02/anti-trump-anti-business-beto-orourke-wont-beat-ted-cruz/?utm_term=.948c605be1ff&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;utterly dismissed&lt;/a&gt; by some prominent personalities. Kavanaugh seemed to &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-txsen-2.html&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;give Ted Cruz a bump,&lt;/a&gt; even if it probably wore off, and early indicators looked good for his challenger, Beto O&#39;Rourke. Early voting, while it doesn&#39;t mean much, looked pretty decent for democrats, an some final polls showed the race &lt;a href=&#34;https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/texas/&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;really close.&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;And it was. The Texas senate race &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/texas/&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;was closer&lt;/a&gt; than many expected. Early on election night it even seemed like Beto had a puncher&#39;s chance at unseating Ted Cruz, which would have been an upset by a lot of standards. However, Cruz retained his seat by about 3%, and he should be happy that he was up this year and not 2022 or something similar, as Texas is getting bluer.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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      <title>The case for Harris for president.</title>
      <link>/posts/the-case-for-harris-for-president./</link>
      <pubDate>Thu, 22 Nov 2018 21:24:31 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>/posts/the-case-for-harris-for-president./</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;In 2016, then attorney general &lt;a href=&#34;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_California,_2016&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;Kamala Harris defeated longtime US House representative Loretta Sanchez&lt;/a&gt; in an election to Barbara Boxer´s senate seat. Shortly thereafter, rumors spread that the democratic establishment &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jul/24/democratic-donors-kamala-harris-rising-star-hamptons&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;had chosen her&lt;/a&gt; as the DNC pick for president in 2020. They thought Harris could appeal to minorities enough to secure a path to 270 electoral votes, and they also thought that she could have enough appeal to both wings of the democratic party to win a primary.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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      <title>The case for Sanders for president.</title>
      <link>/posts/the-case-for-sanders-for-president./</link>
      <pubDate>Tue, 20 Nov 2018 22:27:29 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>/posts/the-case-for-sanders-for-president./</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;Throughout 2014 and most of 2015, &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;Hillary Clinton looked poised to take the democratic nomination&lt;/a&gt; for president. most polls had her polling around 60%, sometimes even higher, and her possible challengers were way down below. The only one who came even remotely close was Joe Biden, and even he was a longshot.&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;Needless to say, this is not how things shook out.&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;Yes, Clinton did get around 55% of the vote, which is kind of close to what early polls showed. However it &lt;a href=&#34;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;was not uncontested.&lt;/a&gt; The junior senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders, put up a serious challenge, garnering 43% of the vote. The Sanders&#39; campaign&#39;s wins were mostly centered in the midwest and the rust belt, while Clinton wins were more notorious in southern and very populated states like New York. Obviously, these last states have more people in them, thus are awarded more delegates. That was one of the main downfall of the Sanders campaign: &lt;a href=&#34;https://apnews.com/6a937194f7ff4ed2a74635257a19db90&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;he just couldn&#39;t connect with southern voters of color&lt;/a&gt;, and those make up a great deal of the democratic base. Y&#39;know, the people who ususally turn out in primaries.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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      <title>The case for Biden for President.</title>
      <link>/posts/the-case-for-biden-for-president./</link>
      <pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2018 21:23:45 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>/posts/the-case-for-biden-for-president./</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;After 2016 there was a lot of &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/347414-how-the-midwest-slipped-away-from-dems&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;doom and gloom&lt;/a&gt; within the Democratic party about how they were losing white, working class voters in the rust belt. However, after the election a couple of weeks ago, democrats are not nearly as concerned. They took Governor&#39;s mansions easily in &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/michigan/governor/&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;Michigan&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/minnesota/governor/&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;Minnesota&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/pennsylvania/governor/&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;Pennsylvania&lt;/a&gt; and dethroned Scott Walker in &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/wisconsin/governor/&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;Wisconsin&lt;/a&gt;, a 2 term Republican governor who democrats &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.cleburnetimesreview.com/cnhi_network/wisconsin-democrats-rejoice-scott-walker-is-finally-gone/article_d5e7deb1-0943-5b35-919b-19d79fa60c6f.html&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;despise&lt;/a&gt;. They also retained 6 senate seats in the rust belt, and you could say that they did so &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/senate/&#34; target=&#34;_blank&#34; rel=&#34;noopener&#34;&gt;quite easily&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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